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Forex Market Analysis: Which Type Is Better?

There are two types of forex market analysis: fundamental analysis, which considers economic, social and political forces and how they influence the currency markets, and technical analysis which uses charts to identify trends and patterns in the movement of prices.

So which one is better? If you check out forums and websites you will find many traders strongly supporting one or the other. Those who like to rely on charts will tell you that the only way to make money with forex trading is to identify trends and jump onto them as early as possible.

At the same time the advocates of fundamental analysis will argue that it is the economic factors that drive the changes in currency prices and this is undoubtedly true, at least most of the time. From that position they will reason that any patterns you might find on a chart are nothing more than coincidental.

But logically this does not necessarily follow. Even though economic changes have a huge impact on the currency markets, it may still be possible to identify patterns in the way that the markets react after an announcement or in times when there are no major announcements.

If on the other hand you rely solely on your charts, you are likely to be caught out when a major financial event such as an interest rate change is suddenly announced. You were not paying attention to the financial news and left a trade open at the wrong moment. That could result in disaster.

So the bottom line is that there are economic events behind the larger scale rises and falls in the market, but there are also common patterns that can be identified in the short term. Finding these patterns and trends, while keeping one eye on the economic and political news, is the best way to predict future price movements. And predicting future price movements, of course, is the way to make money with forex trading.

Foreign exchange market movements are a little like elastic that can stretch in one way or another and then fall back, although not always to its starting position. The fundamentals are the forces that cause it to stretch. Technical analysis predicts how far it will go in each direction before reversing.

So when you want to profit from forex trading it is better not to allow your attention to become fixed on either one. You need to learn to balance the use of both types of forex market analysis to make consistent profits.

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Wednesday, June 24th, 2009 Strategy No Comments

Electronic Currency Trading: How It Works

Electronic currency trading is simply a way of dealing in currency exchange online. You may have seen it described as foreign exchange, forex or fx trading. It is something that appeals to many people who are looking for a way to make money on the internet using their home computer.

Forex is a little like stock trading, although the market itself is very different. You have the same aim of buying something hoping the price will rise. But with forex you are always dealing with money so you can also make money from a falling price, by exchanging out of the falling currency into a steady or rising currency.

Imagine for example that you are trading on the currency pair EUR/USD. This is a common combination for beginners. The US dollar and euro are most traded currencies and there is a lot of information available to help you, so it is a good choice to start.

With this pair you can choose to either buy or sell euros. If you place a buy order, this is called ‘going long’. You would do this if you think the euro will strengthen or rise in value (or the dollar will fall).

If you place a sell order, that is ‘going short’. You would do this if you think the dollar will strengthen (or the euro will weaken).

Your aim is to make a profit by closing the trade when the price goes the way that you anticipated. Closing the trade would involve selling euros if you had gone long, or buying them if you had gone short.

Of course, there is a risk. The price could go the wrong way, and you could make a loss. So it is important to have good information and a profitable trading system.

You do not need a lot of money to get started with electronic currency trading. Many brokers will let you begin with a couple hundred dollars, although it is better if that is not all the money that you have in the world!

Forex trading involves margins. This means that you can place orders for a lot more money than you actually have. You do this through a broker who will guarantee the balance of the order. They know you will be closing the trade at some time and if one currency is falling, another is rising. Currency values are relative, so it is not possible for all currencies to crash in the way that all stocks can crash.

Currencies can be very volatile but you can use stop losses to ensure that you do not lose more than you are willing to risk. Some brokers operate limited risk accounts where they will automatically close your trade if you lose the balance of your account. This means you do not have the dreaded margin calls which can be so disastrous for stock traders.

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Tuesday, June 9th, 2009 fx trading software, Introduction No Comments